And to the heart of the problem will be the most terrible

American Journal of Medicine World Health Organization (WHO) study on the future of mankind cause of death of the forecast report. The report said, 25 years, AIDS will and heart disease, myocardial infarction become a threat to human health of the three major killers. By 2015, every 10 people will have one person died of smoking. And to the heart of the most deadly illnesses USA Network a medical journal published on the 27th of the World Health Organization (WHO) study on the future of mankind cause of death of the forecast report. The "scientific medical journal Public Library" (PLoSMedicine) published the report said, 25 years, AIDS will and heart disease, myocardial infarction become a threat to human health of the three major killers. By 2015, every 10 people will have one person died of smoking. The top is still myocardial infarction By the World Health Organization (WHO) study of State Colin Masai Si Chien Longka and Germany to write a report, died of lung cancer caused by smoking, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease the number from 2005's 5.4 million Increased from 2015's 6.4 million people by 2030 this number will further increase to 8.3 million people. In addition, to 2030, deaths due to myocardial infarction account for the overall cause of death of 13.4 percent, ranking first; stroke and AIDS, respectively accounting for 10.6 percent and 8.9 percent. Human health "killer" lists the top position in 2002 with the same time, but the largest AIDS "killer" lists of the top three positions replace the current list in the third row of upper respiratory tract infection. In addition, the number of people died in traffic accidents also rose from No. 10 the first eight. It is reported that the scientists of human death of the last assessment or 10 years ago, when researchers predicted that the number of people infected with AIDS will be reduced. However, the reality is that the number of AIDS infections has not decreased, but continue to rise. Similar trends in the world death It is reported that every year about 2.8 million people infected with AIDS. However, the published report is expected from 2006 to 2030 for 25 years, at least 117 million people died of AIDS. Masai Si said in an interview, to WHO and the World Bank and other organizations based on the statistics, including war, accidents, etc., all kinds of conditions projections to 2030, the global children under the age of 5 The death toll will be reduced to half of 2002. At the same time, the number of people died of AIDS will be greatly increased. In addition, researchers also report predicted that the next 30 years, the global human cause of death will be very similar. Apart from the poorest countries in the raging AIDS, the vast majority of people will be elderly, die from cardiovascular disease, myocardial infarction and cancer. Masai Si and Longka in the global population of more than 100 countries, an analysis of mortality data that the above conclusions. Impact of the ageing of the pattern of deaths It is learnt that the first study of the population mortality rate and per capita income, educational level, and whether the relationship between smoking were analyzed. However, they have all the information collected to enter a comprehensive model formula, eventually reached several major killer of human health."Science Public Library Journal of Medicine," the report also showed that with the ageing of the population trend of the human deaths due to infectious diseases will decrease the possibility. However, cancer and heart disease will be replaced as the main threat to human health. This is particularly evident in developed countries. In the life of the population, in 2030 in all regions of the world will extend the average life expectancy of more than 5 years of age, Japanese women's average life expectancy of 88.5 years of age will continue to maintain first in the world. But on the other hand, in sub-Saharan Africa average life expectancy of men will remain dissatisfied with the 55-year-old, regional differences are still very evident. Masai Si and Longka's report also forecast that by 2030, the number of deaths from cancer from 2002's 7.1 million increased to 11.5 million. And mortality caused by cardiovascular disease may also be 16.7 million from 2002 rose to 23.3 million. In addition, non-communicable diseases caused by the death of the global population will account for 70 percent mortality rate, which in 2002 will rise 11 percent. The development of the cause of death to trigger a new The report also showed that, although economic development may bring better health services, but will also have an unexpected side-effect: more traffic accidents. As more and more privately owned vehicles, the World Bank estimates that the global road traffic mortality rate in 2020 will increase by 66 percent. Masai Si said that this can be avoided, as long as developing countries learn the experiences of developed countries, through legislation and proper driving methods significantly reduce road traffic accident mortality rate. Analysts pointed out that the understanding of causes of mortality so that policy makers can better predict the future. Although the researchers can not explain some unknown events, such as the newly discovered fatal diseases and large-scale epidemic, but they help to forecast the development of global health planning. Masai Si said, "I hope that this document can bring about change, and I hope that our forecasts of these inauspicious results of the final proved to be wrong."